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Thread: How close might this male to male match be?

  1. #1
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    How close might this male to male match be?

    X 12907727 18720569 8.59 800

    12 25231138 51233157 21.65 6100
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  2. #2
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    You know your stuff, so this appears to be a challenge.
    Worst likely case.
    (Assuming no other sizeable segments,) Blaine Bettinger's collected figures for aDNA suggest that this could be anywhere between 2C and 6C. http://thegeneticgenealogist.com/
    He also has X ancestor charts, but you would already know that on each side you are looking at the mother's side of each.
    You can apply his % average inheritance figures for X, but they apply only very, very roughly, as X inheritance variability is high.
    Why don't you try the GEDmatch Tier 1 prediction tool for X?

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